Hi ZS, assuming that whether or not one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, anyhow?) is independent from winning or losing on any other scratch ticket, you treat each event as an independent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent affairs. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the probability of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after the other (if that must be your is actually asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately 5.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the actual 10 million, which amounts to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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